1. Introduction Part I. Describing the Economic Vote in Western Democracies: 2. Defining and measuring the economic vote 3. Patterns of retrospective economic voting in western democracies 4. Estimation, measurement, and specification Part II. A Contextual Theory of Rational Retrospective Economic Voting: Competency Signals: 5. Competency signals and rational retrospective economic voting 6. What do voters know about economic variation and its sources? 7. Political control of the economy Part III. A Contextual Theory of Rational Retrospective Economic Voting: Strategic Voting: 8. Responsibility, contention, and the economic vote 9. The distribution of responsibility and economic voting 10. The pattern of contention and the economic vote Part IV. Conclusion and Summary: 11. Conclusion.
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