Earthquakes, Tsunamis And Nuclear Risks —— Prediction And Assessment Beyond The Fukushima Accident

----- 地震、海啸与核风险：福岛事故之外的预测与评估

ISBN: 9784431558200 出版年：2015 页码：177 Kamae, Katsuhiro Springer

This book covers seismic probabilistic risk assessment (S-PRA) and related studies which have become more important to increase the safety of nuclear facilities against earthquakes and tsunamis in the face of the many uncertainties after the fukushima accident. The topics are (1) active faults and active tectonics important for seismic hazard assessment of nuclear facilities,(2) seismic source modeling and simulation and modeling techniques indispensable for strong ground motion prediction, and (3) PRA with external hazard and risk communication. The fukushima accident has showed us the limitations of the deterministic evaluation approach to external events (an earthquake and tsunami) in which there are many uncertainties. Furthermore, public anxiety regarding nuclear safety because of an unexpected threat caused by an earthquake or tsunami is growing. The current policy on the estimation of the design basis of ground motion as well as tsunami height still has not been improved following the fukushima accident.  in particular, the risk concept in a nuclear system regarding seismic motion and a tsunami beyond the design basis is indispensable.