Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

ISBN: 9780521427449 出版年：1990 页码：350 Morgan Henrion Cambridge University Press

The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.