Extreme Events: A Physical Reconstruction and Risk Assessment

ISBN: 9780521530989 出版年:2006 页码:312 Jonathan Nott Cambridge University Press

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The assessment of risks posed by natural hazards such as floods, droughts, earthquakes, tsunamis or tropical cyclones is often based on short-term historical records that may not reflect the full range or magnitude of events possible. As human populations grow, especially in hazard-prone areas, methods for accurately assessing natural hazard risk are becoming increasingly important." "In Extreme Events Jonathan Nott describes the many methods used to reconstruct such hazards from natural long-term records. He demonstrates how long-term (multi-century of millennial) records are essential in gaining a realistic understanding of the variability of natural hazards and also demonstrates how short-term historical records can often misrepresent the likely risks associated with natural hazards." "This book will form a useful resource for students taking courses covering natural hazards and risk assessment. It will also be valuable for urban planners, policy makers and non-specialists as a guide to understanding and reconstructing long-term records of natural hazards.

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