Managing Strategic Surprise: Lessons from Risk Management and Risk Assessment

ISBN: 9780521709606 出版年：2008 页码：338 Bracken Bremmer Gordon Cambridge University Press

1. Introduction Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon 2. How to build a warning system Paul Bracken 3. Intelligence management as risk management: the case of surprise attack Uzi Arad 4. Nuclear proliferation epidemiology: uncertainty, surprise, and risk management Lewis A. Dunn 5. Precaution against terrorism Jessica Stern and Jonathan B. Wiener 6. Defense planning and risk management in the presence of deep uncertainty Paul K. Davis 7. Managing energy security risks in a changing world Coby van der Linde 8. What markets miss: political stability frameworks and country risk Preston Keat 9. The risk of failed state contagion Jeffrey Herbst 10. Conclusion: managing strategic surprise Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon.