----- 合理性之外:不幸中搜寻智慧
PART I: THE NEW SEARCH FOR WISDOM 1. The Central Role of Human Judgment 2. Combating Uncertainty PART II: STRATEGIES OF HUMAN JUDGMENT 3. The Strategy of Seeking Correspondence Competence 4. The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell 5. The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational 7. How the Drive for Coherence Brings down Utopias PART III: TACTICS OF HUMAN JUDGMENT 8. Continua 9. The Cognitive Continuum at the Supreme Court 10. Intuition: Seeking Empirical Accuracy the Easy Way 11. Analysis: Seeking Empirical Accuracy the Hard Way 12. Intuition: Seeking Rationality the Easy Way 13. Analysis: Seeking Rationality the Hard Way 14. Robert Rubin: Embedded in an Uncertain World PART IV: THEMES GUIDING RESEARCH 15. Current Themes 16. The Author's Theme PART V: LOOKING BACKWARD 17. Trying to Learn from History with Bernard Lewis and Jared Diamond 18. Toward Better Practices 19. Ineptitude and the Tools of War 20. The New Search for Wisdom
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